Daniel Halliday
Aug 14 · Last update 2 mo. ago.

Could Argentina’s corrupt former president get back into power?

Argentina is a country with a long history of corruption, but the various on-going cases surrounding former President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner have been some of the country’s worst. The country is also facing a massive economic crisis, and reform under current President Mauricio Macri has been slow. Public opinion of Macri seems to be faltering as former de Kirchner Chief of Staff, Alberto Fernandez, who recently won the presidential primaries, looks set to win the upcoming general election in October, with none other than Cristina Fernández de Kirchner as his running mate. Does de Kirchner running for Vice President in Argentina mean it’s likely that she will be pardoned for corruption? Could de Kirchner be seeking to indirectly assume office?
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The real need for an alternative
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Yes, but it is unlikely to affect her case
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No, de Kirchner’s election scandal was too big
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Yes, a further effort to retain political power while evading prosecution
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The real need for an alternative

The difficult political situation in Argentinian politics really highlights the need for a viable third party in the country, as well as the need for more dramatic reforms. The return of a controversial politician like de Kirchner is a symbol of a population too impatient for Mauricio Macri’s gradualism, with many people viewing de Kirchner’s system of welfare investment as preferential, and very few willing to see how Macri’s improvements pan out. However Argentina’s vast reserves of Lithium look set to turn the country around, at least economically, with Lithium for batteries inevitably overtake fossil fuels in dominating future economic markets. The country just needs a candidate that is both legitimate and bold enough to manage such a step forward, and neither the government or the opposition seem to have the right track record...

aljazeera.com/news/2019/08/argentina-macri-faces-setback-fernandez-sees-primary-win-190812015146866.html aljazeera.com/news/2019/08/argentina-macri-faces-setback-fernandez-sees-primary-win-190812015146866.html business.financialpost.com/commodities/mining/argentina-is-set-on-becoming-a-lithium-superpower-but-theres-one-big-problem

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Daniel Halliday
Oct 25
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Yes, but it is unlikely to affect her case

De Kirchner becoming vice president would not signify a “get out of jail free card” for the unpopular politician and would simply be a move back to centre from an even more unpopular right wing government; a government that only got into power through a marginal win in the first place. The prevailing anti-Macri sentiment in Argentina is due to an unpopular IMF bailout and slow economic reforms that have undermined his presidency, and people widely view life under the de Kirchner system as easier, meaning she could win. De Kirchner has dismissed accusations of corruption as politically motivated and it is unlikely to affect the on-going case, as de Kirchner is running partner of presidential hopeful Alberto Fernandez, her harshest critic when he was a member of her government. The latest polls indicate victory for Mr. Fernandez and Mrs. de Kirchner, but Judging by pervious reactions to her corruption scandal, nearly half a million people protested in 2012, she wouldn’t get away with corruption, even if pardoned.

news.yahoo.com/argentina-turns-back-peronism-rebuke-macri-015218338.html aljazeera.com/news/2019/08/argentina-macri-faces-setback-fernandez-sees-primary-win-190812015146866.html theguardian.com/world/2017/jun/25/argentinas-queen-cristina-seeks-return-to-politics-with-senate-bid express.co.uk/news/world/1194506/Argentina-election-polls-latest-2019-who-will-win-Cristina-Fernandez-de-Kirchner-Macri theguardian.com/world/2012/nov/09/argentiana-protests-rally-fernandez-kirchner

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Daniel Halliday
Oct 25
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No, de Kirchner’s election scandal was too big

Following the initial opening of the corruption case against Cristina Fernández de Kirchner the public reacted with wide spread protests, demonstrations in Buenos Aires gaining around 500,000 protesters at their height. This level of public backlash has not been forgotten, and would not be forgotten even with de Kirchner as vice president. There have been a lack of opinion polls in the run up to this election, possibly due to inaccurate opinion polling in the primary votes in early 2019, but some of the early polls that have been conducted have shown Macri to have a slim lead.

en.mogaznews.com/World-News/1255135/UPDATE-1-Argentine-President-Macri-has-slim-lead-for-re-election-in-early-poll.html express.co.uk/news/world/1194506/Argentina-election-polls-latest-2019-who-will-win-Cristina-Fernandez-de-Kirchner-Macri

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Daniel Halliday
Oct 25
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Yes, a further effort to retain political power while evading prosecution

Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner has been involved in a myriad of scandals, and has even been charged with high treason, but she has so far evaded prosecution as she enjoys immunity as a sitting senator, a position she ran for following her presidency. However Cristina Fernandez could still face trial which has led many to believe she is running as vice president with Alberto Fernandez in order for her former colleague to officially pardon her as his Vice President (a president cannot pardon themselves) and further obstruct investigations, allowing her to avoid conviction. Many even view this as an effort to regain political power directly, as political consultant Carlos Fara states, “nobody will imagine they are voting for Alberto without thinking that it’s a vote for Cristina. In the eyes of the public, it will be Alberto governing, but Cristina in power.” [1]

abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/argentina-leader-trial-alleged-cover-bombing-53537541 [1] reuters.com/article/us-argentina-election-idUSKCN1SO0BW

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Daniel Halliday
Aug 14
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