Daniel Halliday
Jul 16 · Last update 1 mo. ago.
Who will be the next Prime Minister to attempt to lead Britain out of the EU?
Following the resignation of Prime Minister Theresa May, the United Kingdom’s Conservative Party is looking for their next leader and the next Prime Minister of the UK. Following May’s failure to deliver a workable Brexit deal, how will the next PM contender differ in approach from May? Who will be the next in line? youtube.com/watch?v=J7lhMDrxEZU
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Boris Johnson
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Boris Johnson

Favourite to win the seat of Prime Minister is ex-Mayor of London Boris Johnson, a big, well known and charismatic politician with appeal to the general public. Johnson has proven electoral success and he is backed by Donald Trump, something that could be of great significance moving forward with Brexit. Despite this there are concerns over Johnson’s handling of a recent diplomatic crisis following a British ambassador's leaked emails criticising Trump, and in Europe there have been concerns over Johnson’s professionalism and lack of focus.

From his debate against Jeremy Hunt it is clear that Johnson remains determined to push through Brexit without a deal, but he claimed to have a 39 billion GBP budget to spend on his Brexit plan. He also referred to doing things differently but didn’t specify, saying he would not just “kick the can” further down the road, from this debate and from Johnson's own interview gaffs it is clear that he lacks a cohesive Brexit plan currently. Regardless Boris Johnson is widely considered as the only politician likeable and popular enough to win the Tory leadership race, and the position as the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.

Since the debates, the British Parliament have voted to block Johnson’s intention to prorogue Parliament, that is to halt Parliament until the Brexit deadline is passed, so that Parliament have no say on the Brexit deal when they come back after the deadline. As Johnson is the only candidate to not rule out prorogation it is clear that parliament expects him to be chosen as Prime Minister in July 2019. 60 Members of Parliament back Johnson as the next Conservative Party leader, a clear majority and leaving Johnson as the obvious front runner, so despite a lack of an apparent plan and many controversies, inevitably Boris Johnson will be the next Prime Minister.

Boris Johnson was elected the new Tory leader with 66% of the vote on the 23rd July 2019, nearly double the votes of his rival Jeremy Hunt. In his acceptance speech Johnson vowed to “deliver Brexit, unite the country,... defeat Jeremy Corbyn [and] energise the country” [1]. Johnson has since put together a proposal for his time as Prime Minister based on the promises made during his campaign. While his plan for Brexit has since centred around getting rid of the Northern Irish backstop clause of Theresa May’s proposal, which has left most speculating that far from wanting to push a edited version of May’s deal, he is actually trying to generate the “no-deal” scenario he has often mentioned.

thesun.co.uk/news/9205700/boris-johnson-nigel-farage-brexit-race-opinion aljazeera.com/news/2019/07/uk-ambassador-resigns-trump-row-190710105850543.html youtube.com/watch?v=zotVME8jdaI youtu.be/MF-W1fAey2E?t=120 [1] theguardian.com/politics/2019/jul/23/boris-johnson-elected-new-tory-leader-prime-minister mirror.co.uk/news/politics/what-boris-johnsons-brexit-plan-18633677

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Daniel Halliday
Aug 14
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DH edited this paragraph
Favourite to win the seat of Prime Minister is ex-Mayor of London Boris Johnson, a big, well known and charismatic politician with appeal to the general public. Johnson has proven electoral success and he is backed by Donald Trump, something that could be of great significance moving forward with Brexit. Despite this there are concerns over Johnson’s handling of a recent diplomatic crisis following a British ambassador's leaked emails criticising Trump, and in Europe there have been concerns over Johnson’s professionalism and lack of focus.
Neither

The best outcome of this current situation is a general election and change of party – something that many in the media and parliament are discussing as an outcome to the announcement of the next prime minister. The UK's Parliament have recently voted to block the next prime minister from forcing through a no-deal Brexit, something that Boris Johnson has expressed an interest in if he takes on the role. Likewise Jeremy Hunt’s plan for an “orderly Brexit with a deal” would only have 30 days to come to fruition if he won, something that eluded Theresa May completely over numerous years, making a general election an ever more likely outcome.

Furthermore the rebellious vote to block Johnson proroguing parliament [1] to force a no deal Brexit and the extremely narrow Conservative parliamentary majority mean that, if he became Prime Minister, Johnson would face a near impossible task of negotiating any Brexit at all. This would make a general election increasingly likely. The leader of the opposition, Jeremy Corbyn, on the other hand is a long-term left-wing Euroskeptic, whose ideas for a customs-union-based deal have gained some interest in Brussels, which could enable him to occupy a middle ground between Parliament and the EU in order to get a deal through before the deadline. In this regard he is the only politician that can fairly deliver on the underlying reason for the country's intention to leave the European Union, issues of austerity policy misconstrued as immigration issues.

The Tory Party and most of the centrist Labour Party are out of touch and attempting to use Brexit to loosen tax evasion loopholes further, or to carry out further corporate tax cuts in an attempt to lure multinationals away from the EU, something Johnson and Hunt have alluded to. Such attitudes will not be able to help the country exit from this very difficult and dangerous economic situation and may land it in a worse one in coming years. In addition Hunt's involvement with NHS scandals, where he overtly lied to the general public, make him personally an unlikely and unpopular candidate to win the Conservative Party leadership. Likewise Johnson's involvement in numerous scandals involving lying, include his position as a leading Brexit campaigner where he massively inflated the amounts of money the UK contributes to the EU, would indicated both men would deliver disappointing results, making a general election the most likely outcome. Boris Johnson in particular would easily cause enough disapproval to speed up this outcome, as he has a history of racism (using the racial slur "pickaninis"), Islamaphobia (referring to women in burqas as "letterboxes" and "bank robbers"), homophobia (using the expression "bumboys"), in addition to being recorded planning with fraudster Darius Guppy to assault journalist Stuart Collier, and has even endangering the life of an British-Iranian woman in prison in Iran because he didn’t read his brief.

A general election and a change of outlook in parliament is the only sensible course to take in UK politics. Labour's Jeremy Corbyn is one of the few politicians that could understand the underlying cause of Brexit due to his position as a supporter of worker's rights and his opposition to the neo-liberal globalist policies of the EU. Following Boris Johnson's election as conservative party leader and Prime Minister by default, the case for a public vote for change becomes stronger, and judging by the rise in recent voting for far-left and far-right parties across Europe, it is likely a general election could lead to a massive change of leadership for the country.

businessinsider.com/no-deal-brexit-mps-vote-block-boris-johnson-closing-parliament-2019-7 bbc.com/news/uk-politics-49004486 news.sky.com/story/johnson-launches-campaign-as-poll-suggests-he-would-lead-tories-to-general-election-victory-11740185 wfmz.com/news/cnn-world-news/britains-new-prime-minister-will-have-only-30-days-to-get-brexit-done/1097124629 theguardian.com/politics/2017/sep/27/jeremy-corbyn-promises-rent-controls-and-clampdown-on-gentrification [1] youtube.com/watch?v=5gKZOxwrpvw youtube.com/watch?v=tmmGTyXDcT8

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Daniel Halliday
Aug 14
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DH edited this paragraph
Furthermore the rebellious vote to block Johnson proroguing parliament [1] to force a no deal Brexit and the extremely narrow Conservative parliamentary majority mean that, if he became Prime Minister, Johnson would face a near impossible task of negotiating any Brexit at all. This would make a general election increasingly likely. The leader of the opposition, Jeremy Corbyn, on the other hand is a long-term left-wing Euroskeptic, whose ideas for a customs-union-based deal have gained some interest in Brussels, which could enable him to occupy a middle ground between Parliament and the EU in order to get a deal through before the deadline. In this regard he is the only politician that can fairly deliver on the underlying reason for the country's intention to leave the European Union, issues of austerity policy misconstrued as immigration issues.
Jeremy Hunt

British Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt, who took over the role following the resignation of Boris Johnson, is now looking to beat Johnson to the position of Conservative Party Leader, and Prime Minister. Following a successful private sector career and amassing a multi million pound personal wealth, Hunt is considered the more ambitious, moderate and hard working politician vying to fill Theresa May’s shoes. Hunt has proposed a business minded exit from the EU, and having real business experience could distinguish him from Johnson. However Hunt's mishandling of junior doctor strikes in 2015, combined with his mismanagement and lying about National Health Service (NHS) funding during his time as Health Secretary in 2016 may leave him looking a less suitable Brexit Prime Minister compared to the more experienced Johnson.

When debating Johnson, Hunt outlined his ten point Brexit strategy to avoid a no deal outcome, including a cabinet task force, a negotiating team, a new national budget, a relief programme for fishing and farming amongst others [1]. Hunt also claimed his private sector negotiating experience would put him in a better position handling a Brexit deal compared to Johnson. He then went on to give a strong answer when asked about Donald Trump’s attack on Theresa May, calling his comments unacceptable, whereas Johnson gave no conclusive answer instead just claiming he had a strong relationship with the White House. When asked about his NHS scandals Hunt claimed he did the right thing which simply wasn’t the most popular decision.

Jeremy Hunt remains a less popular but better suited member of parliament to assume this role. Hunt would be the fresh face that Brexit negotiations need, he already has a planned strategy to approach negotiations, and may have a better understanding and more experience in such complex economic matters. In addition Hunt does not having the EU baggage and negative reputation in Brussels that Boris Johnson does, putting him overall in a much better position for the very difficult role of the next Brexit PM.

On the 23rd of July 2019 Jeremy Hunt lost the race for Tory leadership to Boris Johnson, despite arguably being the better Prime Ministerial candidate he lost out to the more popular Johnson. Hunt gained 46,656 votes to Johnson’s 92,153. Since the announcement Hunt has congratulated Johnson and said he is “delighted for the country that Boris has become Prime Minister, I think he will be a great Prime Minister” [2].

gq-magazine.co.uk/article/jeremy-hunt-leadership-campaign brexitcentral.com/jeremy-hunt-sets-our-his-10-point-brexit-delivery-plan-full-text thesun.co.uk/news/9472797/itv-debate-boris-johnson-jeremy-hunt-brexit

[1] conservativehome.com/parliament/2019/07/united-we-will-win-united-we-will-prosper-hunts-brexit-plan-full-text.html [2] thegirlsun.com/jeremy-hunt-speaks-out-for-first-time-after-losing-to-boris-brings-uk-what-we-need

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Daniel Halliday
Aug 14
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DH edited this paragraph
[1] https://www.conservativehome.com/parliament/2019/07/united-we-will-win-united-we-will-prosper-hunts-brexit-plan-full-text.html [2] https://thegirlsun.com/jeremy-hunt-speaks-out-for-first-time-after-losing-to-boris-brings-uk-what-we-need/
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