Daniel Halliday
May 27 · Last update 11 days ago.

Is Trump reigniting a global nuclear arms race?

Before he had even taken office as US president, Donald Trump was out-spoken in his critique of the treaties the US had ratified limiting nuclear arms development. As president he has proceeded to withdraw the US from the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty in August 2019, announced withdrawal from the Open Skies Treaty in May 2020, and has voiced opposition to the New START (Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty) set to expire 2021. Russian foreign minister, Vladimir Leontyev, has also commented that there is now not enough time for Moscow and Washington to draft a replacement treaty for New START. What is behind Trump's seemingly backward step on nuclear weapons? Are his actions justified? Does Trump really intend to reignite a nuclear arms race with Russia? nbcnews.com/news/us-news/trump-tweets-apparent-call-more-us-nuclear-weapons-n699221 uk.reuters.com/article/uk-russia-usa-missiles/russia-says-not-enough-time-left-to-draft-new-start-arms-control-treaty-ifax-idUKKBN1XB3NQ?il=0 theguardian.com/us-news/2020/apr/05/trump-administration-treaty-war-russia-withdraw rt.com/news/450395-russia-suspends-inf-treaty
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No – Trump's attempting to prevent treaty violations
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Yes, in an unprecedented step backwards to Cold War era politics
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No – Trump's attempting to prevent treaty violations

Trump officials have expressed concern that Russia and China have conducted low yield nuclear weapons experiments that violate mutually signed nuclear treaties, such as the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty. Russia is widely considered to have violated the zero yield nuclear testing, and faces allegations that the country has aided, or is aiding, North Korea's nuclear weapon development program. China is meanwhile one of the few nuclear weapon states known to be actively increasing its nuclear arsenal, some estimates claim they are set to double capacity by the mid-2020s. Trump is in a position to outspend and out-posture all countries with nuclear arms, they will back down and he can probably get them to agree to better arrangements on US terms, so he is not simply escalating nuclear tension but actively attempting to lower them.

apnews.com/773c5e6b7fb92f5e6d0e4b8fddf1665e thebulletin.org/2019/02/russia-may-have-violated-the-inf-treaty-heres-how-the-united-states-appears-to-have-done-the-same kyivpost.com/russia/guardian-russia-pushing-unsuitable-nuclear-power-in-africa.html telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/northkorea/1523468/Russia-secretly-offered-North-Korea-nuclear-technology.html journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0096340211426630

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Daniel Halliday
Jun 28
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Yes, in an unprecedented step backwards to Cold War era politics

This story is far from a hollow tweet from Trump, the Trump administration is also reported to be discussing the first US nuclear weapons testing in decades, for the purpose of exerting pressure on China and Russia on key nuclear matters. In addition US envoy on Arms Control, Marshall Billingslea, has been bragging publicly that the US can outspend Russia and China “to oblivion”, in what is clear posturing on the US’ part. This approach is too risky, didn’t work in the past and is probably based on the false assumption that military spending is the ONLY thing that led to the collapse of the Soviet Union. This could however be a catastrophic economic direction for the US to move in at this time, as nuclear testing is unbelievably expensive, most Americans should be asking if the country can afford to throw trillions of dollars away in the middle of an economic depression, its unimaginably stupid.

alethonews.com/2020/05/22/plan-to-spend-russia-china-into-oblivion-in-arms-race-will-bankrupt-only-america washingtonpost.com/national-security/trump-administration-discussed-conducting-first-us-nuclear-test-in-decades/2020/05/22/a805c904-9c5b-11ea-b60c-3be060a4f8e1_story.html britannica.com/story/why-did-the-soviet-union-collapse forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2020/05/29/donald-trumps-nuke-testing-idea-is-catastrophically-stupid/#589c38075c11

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Daniel Halliday
May 30
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