Daniel Halliday
Feb 28 · Last update 24 days ago.

Will the Syrian Civil War escalate into a Turkish-Syrian War?

On the 27th February 2020 thirty-three Turkish Soldiers were killed in a Syrian Government air strike in Idlib, Syria as the Syrian Civil War looks like it could escalate into a more serious international conflict. This is the largest number of Turkish causalities in a single day since the country entered into the conflict in 2016, and Turkey has released official statements vowing to respond to in the same way to all known Syrian targets. This dire intensification may be avoided if international influences can deescalate the situation, noting in particular Russian and US participation in the Syrian Civil War. With this in mind is the Syrian Civil War likely to escalate into a Turkish-Syrian War?
Stats of Viewpoints
No – But Turkey needs to continue operations in Syria
0 agrees
0 disagrees
The refugee issue could start a larger conflict
0 agrees
0 disagrees
It depends on the US
0 agrees
0 disagrees
Erdogan wants to reinstate the Ottoman Empire
0 agrees
0 disagrees
No, Turkey cannot afford this war
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0 disagrees
Yes – already the case
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No – But Turkey needs to continue operations in Syria

Turkey has been on the receiving end of numerous terror attacks from the PKK (Kurdish Workers’ Party) for decades, and needs to operate across the border in order to protect Turkish civilians from further attacks from the PKK affiliate group YPG (People's Protection Units) inside Syria. Turkey is attempting to use the Syrian Civil War to disarm Kurdish terror networks that operate across the border with Turkey, these groups seek to carry out terror activities in order to gain territory from inside Turkey and establish a independent Kurdish state. It is a matter of local and national security then that Turkey continue these important operations inside Syria, in order to protect Turkish and Syrian civilians from Kurdish separatists.

trtworld.com/magazine/a-timeline-of-the-pkk-s-war-on-turkey-1974-2019-30618 dailysabah.com/politics/2020/02/03/turkey-continues-operations-in-syria-to-ensure-local-national-security

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Daniel Halliday
Mar 9
Created

The refugee issue could start a larger conflict

The international crisis surrounding Turkey goes much further than with just Syria, as tensions are spreading much further. Following Turkish President Erdogan opening the border with Greece in late February 2020, Greece retaliated against refugees amid fierce tensions surrounding the migration crises that the Syrian Civil War has caused. President Erdogan is set to discuss this latest refugee crisis with EU leaders in Brussels but with peace in Syria resting on a tentative ceasefire drawn up by Turkey and Russia, and clashes between police and migrants repeatedly breaking on the Greek border, this situation looks set to escalate much further.

aljazeera.com/news/2020/02/turkish-soldiers-killed-air-raid-syria-idlib-200227211119672.html msn.com/en-us/news/world/turkeys-erdogan-to-discuss-migrant-issues-with-eu-in-brussels/ar-BB10UuCx aljazeera.com/news/2020/03/clashes-greek-police-migrants-reported-turkish-border-200306082639844.html?utm_source=website&utm_medium=article_page&utm_campaign=read_more_links abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/amid-tensions-fire-damages-greek-island-refugee-center-69465713 time.com/5798808/migrant-tear-gas-greek-police

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Daniel Halliday
Mar 9
Created

It depends on the US

The United States needs to take its equal share of the responsibility for the Syrian Civil War, and indeed for some of what has transpired in Syria America needs to be blamed. This situation was complicated unbelievably by toxic US foreign policy, through CIA projects such a Timber Sycamore to selling out the Kurds and allowing a Turkish massacre against them, and now the US has now pulled out without a contingency plan, the situation risks escalating into an international war. The US has backed Turkish actions and similar rebel/terrorist groups to Turkey throughout the Syrian Civil War and now that these forces have been compromised the Turkish military has stepped in directly. The US has been on the wrong side of the Syrian Civil War and desperately needs to put it right before the situation worsens.

mintpressnews.com/operation-timber-sycamore-washingtons-secret-war-syria/222692 edition.cnn.com/2019/10/11/middleeast/us-base-syria-kurds-sold-out-intl/index.html jpost.com/Middle-East/Israel-US-to-blame-for-Syria-bombing washingtontimes.com/news/2020/mar/3/us-provide-108-million-humanitarian-aid-threat-tur

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Daniel Halliday
Mar 9
Created

Erdogan wants to reinstate the Ottoman Empire

Erdogan's crazed attempt at regional hegemony has left some wondering if he does in fact want to rebuild the Ottoman Empire in his own image. His intentions are clear; From campaigning in former Ottoman countries, to trying to reintroduce the language of the old empire, from reinstating Ottoman monuments and the Ottoman national anthem to Erdogan’s own words, “it is time to return to our roots” [1]. In addition Erodgan has a history of criticizing the treaty that created the modern borders of Turkey for leaving his country too small, and commenting on Turkish minority enclaves in countries like Iraq and Greece along side historical territorial claims. This in particular went so far as to generate conflict between Ankara and Baghdad in 2016. In this way Syria seems to just be the latest to add to this list of targets for Erdogan's toxic Turkish/Ottoman nationalism.

foreignpolicy.com/2018/06/22/erdogan-is-making-the-ottoman-empire-great-again youtube.com/watch?v=opbiV61Qy1c telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/turkey/11280577/Recep-Tayyip-Erdogan-vows-to-impose-Arabic-Ottoman-lessons-in-schools.html [1] shoebat.com/2015/01/20/many-reasons-erdogan-reviving-ottoman-empire-coming-caliphate foreignpolicy.com/2016/10/23/turkeys-religious-nationalists-want-ottoman-borders-iraq-erdogan

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Daniel Halliday
Mar 9
Created

No, Turkey cannot afford this war

Turkey cannot afford the situation with Syria descending into an all out war, neither economically nor diplomatically. Despite being on opposing sides, President Erdogan maintains good relations with President Putin so this alone limits his actions here, but an all out war would put Turkey in a difficult diplomatic situation internationally also. In addition Turkey cannot afford to fund a military push against forces that are backed by such a large military as Russia’s, and possibly other international forces in the event of further escalation. So, if this is the last opposition stronghold why is Turkey continuing to fortify anti-government forces here if they cannot go to war? Simple, the Turkish government is using the chaos of the Syrian Civil War to set up a buffer zone in Northern Syria to better control and fight Kurdish separatists on both sides of the border. This is Turkey's real goal, not war for the sake of it.

aljazeera.com/news/2020/02/erdogan-putin-discuss-syria-turkey-demands-truce-idlib-200228164901966.html youtube.com/watch?v=tcbbeBNs4Jc

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Daniel Halliday
Mar 1
Created

Yes – already the case

In weeks prior to the recent Turkish casualties President Erdogan threatened to launch a full scale military attack against the Syrian Army if the government forces failed to meet his ultimatum and retreat from the Idlib region occupied by Turkish forces, and this was not the first threat of this kind. While the leaders of the two countries may openly claim to want peace or a de-escalation of recent tensions, on the ground people are suffering in Northern Syria, suffering from a bombardment on both sides. If this is not yet an official war between the two countries it is already a war on the people of this region, and that is being waged by the Syrian Government and Turkey. Turkey has also expressed its intention to remove Syrian refugees from its borders, a clear intention to further intensify the suffering of Syrians. If you view the Syrian Civil War as the proxy war it really is then, just like Russia, Turkey is already involved through years of support of various National Front of Liberation groups, themselves connected to al-Nusra/al-Qaeda, forces that the Syrian Government is fighting directly.

washingtonpost.com/world/turkey-to-syrian-refugees-you-dont-have-to-go-home-but-dont-stay-here/2018/04/04/d1b17d8c-222a-11e8-946c-9420060cb7bd_story.html theguardian.com/world/2019/oct/07/us-withdrawal-from-syria-leaves-fate-of-isis-fighters-and-families-in-detention-uncertain

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Daniel Halliday
Mar 1
Approved
DH edited this paragraph
In weeks prior to the recent Turkish casualties President Erdogan threatened to launch a full scale military attack against the Syrian Army if the government forces failed to meet his ultimatum and retreat from the Idlib region occupied by Turkish forces, and this was not the first threat of this kind. While the leaders of the two countries may openly claim to want peace or a de-escalation of recent tensions, on the ground people are suffering in Northern Syria, suffering from a bombardment on both sides. If this is not yet an official war between the two countries it is already a war on the people of this region, and that is being waged by the Syrian Government and Turkey. Turkey has also expressed its intention to remove Syrian refugees from its borders, a clear intention to further intensify the suffering of Syrians. If you view the Syrian Civil War as the proxy war it really is then, just like Russia, Turkey is already involved through years of support of various National Front of Liberation groups, themselves connected to al-Nusra/al-Qaeda, forces that the Syrian Government is fighting directly.
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