Daniel Halliday
Dec 2 · Last update 13 days ago.

Why are military coups so common in Guinea-Bissau?

Guinea-Bissau is a small West Africa state on the edge of political change, but many fear recent political events will spiral into a coup. The incumbent president, José Mário Vaz, is the only president to serve a whole presidential term without being overthrown the vote is now between two ex-Prime Ministers, Domingos Simoes Pereira and Umaro Sissoco Embalo, in a runoff election. What keeps Guinea-Bissau in such a state of instability? Why have military coups become so common?
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Negative political and economic feedback

Guinea-Bissau’s political and economic situation negatively impact one another, the country is suffering political and economic instability, leaving it with one of the lowest GDP per capita ratings of any country globally, and a long history successive coup d’état. This situation has become all the more complex as South American drug smugglers sought to benefit form the lack of political stability and use the country to traffic illegal substances such as cocaine into the continent and then on to Europe. The authorities and government are thought to have turned a blind eye to drug trafficking with former presidents standing personally accused of profiting either indirectly or directly from this illicit industry. The mixture of economic difficulties and corruption strengthening political exploitation, and this has formed a feedback loop generating the poverty and inequality that drives desperation and leads to people being willing to risk their life or the lives of leaders in order to make grabs for power.

statista.com/statistics/256547/the-20-countries-with-the-lowest-gdp-per-capita bbc.com/news/world-africa-19060861 aljazeera.com/news/2019/11/guinea-bissau-presidential-election-191119060255362.html

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Daniel Halliday
Dec 2
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