D H
Nov 7 · Last update 14 days ago.

What's the answer to the crisis in Tigray?

Fighting broke out in the Tigray region of Northern Ethiopia in November 2020, following the Tigray People’s Liberation Front's (TPLF) refusal to join a political coalition and their subsequent dispute of the postponement of general elections due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Tigray Defence Forces (TDF) attacked Ethiopian National Defence Forces (ENDF) headquarters in Tigray following a build up of ENDF, as well as Eritrean and Amhara forces, on the region's borders, and although the ENDF quickly claimed the conflict to be over fighting continued. A year later the conflict is looking more like a civil war which has spilled out into the neighbouring regions of Amhara and Afar, and the TDF have joined with the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) to fight the government forces of the ENDF. What is driving fighting in Tigray? Is there an answer to this conflict? What are the viable solutions to the Tigray crisis?
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The solution should not be international
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TPLF a terror organization
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Tigray independence is inevitable
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No military solution
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0 disagrees
The solution should be international
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0 disagrees
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The solution should not be international

The US is already interfering in this situation and siding with rebels over the democratically elected government due to their close ties to China. The TPLF started this conflict, by first trying to solidify power in the region and then literally attacking a federal military outpost killing members of Ethiopia's military, but this is nothing new for this group who ruled the entire country from 1911-2018 with no regard for human rights, who embezzled aid money, and divided the country down ethnic lines, leaving Ethiopia in its current state. The TPLF have already demonstrated the fact that they haven't changed, using child soldiers to attack national military soldiers who are reluctant to open fire on clearly underage fighters. The US and its allies are pivoting against Ethiopia because of close ties to China, but the days of this sort of imperial interference are over, what is the national government meant to do? By siding with TPLF rebels and sanctioning the government, western powers are distorting the situation in Ethiopia and are complicit with the violence, human rights abuses and massive displacement of people that is quickly spiralling out of control there.

counterpunch.org/2021/10/29/ethiopia-assailed-by-terrorists-and-betrayed-by-the-west youtube.com/watch?v=rCtipOQEDG0&t=1025s npr.org/2021/10/15/1046106922/social-media-misinformation-stokes-a-worsening-civil-war-in-ethiopia?t=1634568487318 theowp.org/the-recruitment-of-child-soldiers-by-the-tigray-peoples-liberation-front-in-ethiopia

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D H
Nov 21
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TPLF a terror organization

The military tactics of the TPLF are long thought to have been overly violent and often directed toward civilians in their decades of history engaged in political conflict, such human rights abuses have boomed since the TPLF attacked the Ethiopian military's Northern Command installation in Tigray on Nov 4th 2020. This conflict stemmed from the TPLF escalating tension by holding unrecognised regional elections despite COVID-19 restrictions, the behaviour of a rouge party, and the violence they have perpetrated since has led the Ethiopian government to designate the organisation a terrorist group for targeting both civilians and public infrastructure. Dialogue should be encouraged, facilitated, and could be mediated by the African Union or even the United Nations to prevent further degradation of the situation in Tigray, but you cannot deal with a terrorist organisation through dialogue alone. The Ethiopian government is clearly needs to trying to protect and secure civilians and the Ethiopian state but part this has to be enforcing the rule of law, Abiy Ahmeds hands are tied in this way.

horninstitute.org/ethiopia-tplf-becomes-a-terrorist-organization ethiopoint.com/tigray-people-liberation-front-is-a-terrorist-and-mafia-organization reddit.com/r/Ethiopia/comments/no5weo/tplf_is_a_terrorist_organization

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D H
Nov 10
Created

Tigray independence is inevitable

Ethiopia was ruled by a communist military junta from 1974 until 1987/1991, the TPLF were one of the four political parties instrumental in overthrowing the junta and establishing the country’s federal system. This current conflict is really a result of Abiy Ahmed’s decision to merge three of the country’s parties in a step away from ethnic federalism, but for the TPLF ethnic federalism is a safeguard against the same accumulation of power that they fought decades ago and a way to avoid ethnic tensions. Nobel peace prize winner Abiy Ahmed sees this differently and this merger was an attempt to quash the growing ethic unrest seen in Ethiopia since he came to power. Tigray is being treated as a de-facto independent state already, it has been cut off from political decision-making and throughout the crisis has been cut off from the world by the Ethiopian military, are the Tigray people meant to feel secure and a sense of belonging to Ethiopia when the political system and even the lives of their people are so under threat? There is growing call for independence from many regions of the world, Tigray is being pushed in the same way and calls for succession will only be consolidated by such treatment.

asenatv.com/the-inevitable-birth-of-a-new-nation-tigray advocacy4oromia.org/2020/05/14/in-depth-analysis-towards-tigray-statehood borkena.com/2020/06/14/is-the-boasting-of-tigrean-secession-a-nightmare-or-attainable

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D H
Nov 10
Created

No military solution

Further fighting will just prolong suffering and worsen the situation in Tigray which for many has reached famine proportions, 400,000 people are living in conditions of near starvation in Tigray and a further 1.8 million are rapidly approaching similar food shortages. The Ethiopian government needs to take the first step in this crisis, the future of the country is at stake and the government is worsening the situation by limiting humanitarian aid to the region, intentionally withholding humanitarian assistance. Abiy Ahmed's government have limited humanitarian aid and personnel, land and air access, and have blocked telephone, internet and banking services to Tigray, making it impossible to deliver aid, and essentially orchestrating a siege which delves into the territory of a war crime. To avoid furthering this humanitarian crisis Ethiopia need to pursue negotiation, ceasefire, aid access, and an Ethiopian-led political dialogue.

voanews.com/a/ethiopia-tigray_un-chief-no-military-solution-ethiopia-crisis/6210028.html africanews.com/2021/08/20/no-military-solution-to-tigray-conflict-un-secretary-general

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D H
Nov 10
Created

The solution should be international

During the Tigray War we have already seen the serious violation of human rights and humanitarian law, including war crimes and ethnic cleansing, but the African Union (AU) has remained feckless, there is indeed no African solution to this crisis and the international community needs to step in. Such atrocities warrant an independent, credible and prompt international probe to counter the situation worsening and window of accountability passing the civilians of the region by. The Chair of the AU, Moussa Faki, has already said that the Ethiopian federal government took legitimate action in Tigray to preserve the country’s unity, something that will automatically make most Tigrayan’s view the AU as an non-impartial arbiter. There have been credible reports of human rights violations on both sides of this conflict and the AU has currently been silent on the government's side in this. The UN is in a much better position to deal with this conflict multilaterally, with greater experience, greater funding and an established International Criminal Court, war crimes have already been committed, the international community needs to step up to stop this from continuing.

ethiopia-insight.com/2021/03/24/there-is-no-african-solution-for-ethiopias-tigray-problem warontherocks.com/2021/09/what-tigray-portends-the-future-of-peace-and-security-in-africa

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D H
Nov 7
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